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Londrina vs Sao Bernardo

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Fabricio Daniel In: Pablo Dyego
Out: Fabricio Daniel
7' Event
Daniel Amorim
Assist: Romisson
21' Event
Dudu Miraima

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Londrina and Sao Bernardo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Bernardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Londrina
22%
Draws
18%
Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Londrina's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Sao Bernardo have produced (1).
  • Win probability leans Londrina's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Sao Bernardo
1:3
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C
Londrina vs Sao Bernardo
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C
Sao Bernardo vs Londrina
2:2
May 5, 2025 Serie C
Sao Bernardo vs Londrina
0:0
May 19, 2024 Serie C
Londrina vs Sao Bernardo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Miraima
2 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel Amorim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 68 / 100
Sao Bernardo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Sao Bernardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Londrina scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sao Bernardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Londrina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Sao Bernardo
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 6

Sao Bernardo

(Away)
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Sao Bernardo
2 : 2
Cuiaba
06 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)