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Long Eaton vs Alfreton Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bertram R.
Own Goal
53' Event
Cursons T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Long Eaton and Alfreton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Long Eaton
15%
Draws
76%
Alfreton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfreton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alfreton a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 17%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Eaton Alfreton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Long Eaton vs Alfreton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Long Eaton Compare

Top Goalscorer Cursons T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Eaton 15 / 100
Alfreton 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Eaton Alfreton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfreton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Long Eaton found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Long Eaton remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Long Eaton VS Alfreton
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Eaton

(Home)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
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Alfreton

(Away)
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
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