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Long Island vs Michigan Bucks

USA USA

US Open Cup 2003
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Long Island host Michigan Bucks in the US Open Cup 2003. Little to choose between these two on current form. Long Island have averaged 2.75 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Michigan Bucks's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Michigan Bucks slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 25, 2003, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.98 vs 1.06, favoring Long Island. Long Island in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Long Island
6%
Draws
4%
Michigan Bucks
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Long Island has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Michigan Bucks.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Long Island.
  • Cup tournament structure in US Open Cup 2003 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Long Island Clean Sheet 20%
Michigan Bucks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Island Michigan Bucks
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 0
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2003 US Open Cup
Long Island vs Michigan Bucks
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Island 85 / 100
Michigan Bucks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Island Michigan Bucks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Long Island scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Michigan Bucks let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Long Island went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Michigan Bucks lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long Island VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Third leg
Chicago Fire-
TBD-
Bavarian United SC1
Milwaukee Rampage4
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
Seattle Sounders1
Minnesota United0
TBD-
San Jose Earthquakes-
Fuego5
El Paso2
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy-
DC United2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
North Carolina Fusion U230
Virginia Beach Mariners5
FC Dallas-
TBD-
Atlanta SC1
Wilmington Hammerheads2
New England Revolution-
TBD-
New Hampshire1
Rochester New York4
Columbus Crew-
TBD-
Michigan Bucks0
New York Red Bulls4
Fourth leg
Chicago Fire4
Milwaukee Rampage1
Sporting Kansas City2
Colorado Rapids3
Seattle Sounders1
San Jose Earthquakes0
Fuego1
Los Angeles Galaxy3
DC United1
Virginia Beach Mariners0
FC Dallas1
Wilmington Hammerheads4
New England Revolution2
Rochester New York1
Columbus Crew3
New York Red Bulls4
Quarter-finals
Chicago Fire2
Colorado Rapids1
Seattle Sounders1
Los Angeles Galaxy5
DC United1
Wilmington Hammerheads0
New England Revolution1
New York Red Bulls2
Semi-finals
Chicago Fire3
Los Angeles Galaxy2
DC United2
New York Red Bulls3
Final
Chicago Fire1
New York Red Bulls0