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Long Island vs New Jersey Copa

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Long Island in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Long Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Long Island
15%
Draws
20%
New Jersey Copa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Long Island lately — more wins on the board than New Jersey Copa.
  • Win probability leans Long Island's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Long Island have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Long Island Clean Sheet 20%
New Jersey Copa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Island New Jersey Copa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.35 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 USL League Two
New Jersey Copa vs Long Island
0:2
Jun 18, 2025 USL League Two
Long Island vs New Jersey Copa
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 USL League Two
New Jersey Copa vs Long Island
0:1
May 19, 2024 USL League Two
Long Island vs New Jersey Copa
2:1
Jul 16, 2023 USL League Two
Long Island vs New Jersey Copa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Island 85 / 100
New Jersey Copa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Island New Jersey Copa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Long Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Long Island scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

New Jersey Copa let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Long Island stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long Island VS New Jersey Copa
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Island

(Home)
11 Jul
Motown 2
4 : 2
Long Island
02 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
1 : 1
Long Island
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
26 Jun
Long Island
4 : 1
Cedar Stars Rush
21 Jun
Long Island
4 : 0
Westchester Flames
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New Jersey Copa

(Away)
11 Jul
New Jersey Copa
2 : 1
Westchester Flames
08 Jul
Manhattan
6 : 0
New Jersey Copa
01 Jul
Staten Island ASC
3 : 2
New Jersey Copa
27 Jun
New Jersey Copa
1 : 2
Ironbound SC
24 Jun
Morris Elite
2 : 0
New Jersey Copa
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