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Long Island vs Portland Phoenix

USA USA

USL League Two 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Long Island in this USL League Two 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Long Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Long Island
6%
Draws
4%
Portland Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Long Island lately — more wins on the board than Portland Phoenix.
  • Win probability leans Long Island's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Long Island Clean Sheet 20%
Portland Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Island Portland Phoenix
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2017 USL League Two
Long Island vs Portland Phoenix
1:0
Jun 4, 2017 USL League Two
Portland Phoenix vs Long Island
6:0
Jul 8, 2016 USL League Two
Long Island vs Portland Phoenix
3:2
Jun 26, 2016 USL League Two
Portland Phoenix vs Long Island
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Island 85 / 100
Portland Phoenix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Island Portland Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Long Island scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Portland Phoenix has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

Solid form: Long Island remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Long Island VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Island

(Home)
11 Jul
Motown 2
4 : 2
Long Island
02 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
1 : 1
Long Island
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
26 Jun
Long Island
4 : 1
Cedar Stars Rush
21 Jun
Long Island
4 : 0
Westchester Flames
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Portland Phoenix

(Away)
20 Jul
Reading
2 : 1
Portland Phoenix
13 Jul
Portland Phoenix
4 : 3
Boston Bolts
06 Jul
Westchester Flames
4 : 5
Portland Phoenix
05 Jul
Manhattan
2 : 1
Portland Phoenix
19 Jun
Portland Phoenix
3 : 1
AC Connecticut
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