Sport Picks
Longford vs Bangor Celtic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
FAI Cup 2021 Bishopsgate, Longford 
Match Events
17'
17'
Williams D.
65'
65'
Grimes D.
(Penalty)
70'
70'
Nugent D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Longford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Longford come out ahead of Bangor Celtic on wins alone.
- Model gives Longford a 46% chance of winning this.
- Longford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Longford, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Longford | Bangor Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 17 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2021 FAI Cup
Longford vs Bangor Celtic
5:0
Aug 25, 2017 FAI Cup
Bangor Celtic vs Longford
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Longford Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nugent D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Bangor Celtic Compare
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Longford 74 / 100
Bangor Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Longford Bangor Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangor Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.
Attacking prowess: Longford scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Longford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Longford VS Bangor Celtic
3 Goals Scored 4
1.63 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Longford
(Home) 02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3 Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1 Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2 Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1 Kerry
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1 Cork City
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2 Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1 Kerry
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2 Bray
03 Aug
Longford
5 : 0 Finn Harps
Page 1 of 3
Bangor Celtic
(Away) 18 Jul
Bangor Celtic
4 : 5 College Corinthians
10 May
Bangor Celtic
4 : 1 River Valley Rangers
19 Jul
Bangor Celtic
0 : 2 Cobh Ramblers
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2 Bangor Celtic
22 Jul
Galway United
4 : 1 Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 4
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2 Bangor Celtic
22 Jul
Galway United
4 : 1 Bangor Celtic
24 Jul
Longford
5 : 0 Bangor Celtic
29 Mar
Tolka
2 : 1 Bangor Celtic
17 Apr
Greystones United
1 : 1 Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 6
Bray 0
Killester Donnycarney 1
Usher Celtic 0
Wexford 3
Cabinteely 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Finn Harps 3
Drogheda 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 0
Dundalk 1
Crumlin Utd 1
St Mochta's 2
College Corinthians 0
Bohemians 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 0
Maynooth University 4
Malahide United 0
Liffey Wanderers 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Shelbourne 0
Bangor Celtic 0
Longford 5
Athlone 4
Waterford 5
St. Kevins Boys 1
Kilnamanagh 4
1/8-finals
Cork City 1
St. Patricks 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Wexford 2
Finn Harps 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 5
St Mochta's 1
Bohemians 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Maynooth University 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Longford 1
Waterford 4
Kilnamanagh 1
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Wexford 0
Finn Harps 4
Dundalk 6
Bohemians 4
Maynooth University 0
UC Dublin 2
Waterford 3
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 3
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 1
Waterford 0
Final
St. Patricks 2
Bohemians 1
