Sport Picks

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Longford vs Cork City

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Longford play Cork City in the Division 1. Cork City are favorites here. Recently, Longford averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Cork City averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. In past meetings, Longford won 0, Cork City won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Longford and 2.13 for Cork City. This points to a Cork City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Longford
15%
Draws
56%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Longford picked up more points recently compared to Cork City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
Cork City Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Cork City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Drinan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crowley D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 28 / 100
Cork City 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Cork City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cork City & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Longford attacking → ← attacking Cork City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longford scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Cork City let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Longford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cork City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 64
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin22113836:2136
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Longford2277823:2728
6Wexford2276925:3027
7Kerry2267922:2725
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420