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Longford vs Cork City

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Adenekan S.
40'
Bolger G.
46'
Sub
Fitzpatrick J. In: Murray M.
Out: Fitzpatrick J.

AI Match Summary

Cork City in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Longford
20%
Draws
40%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cork City lately — more wins on the board than Longford.
  • Model gives Cork City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
Cork City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Cork City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.6 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
2:1
Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:4
May 16, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Drinan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crowley D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 26 / 100
Cork City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Cork City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Longford scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cork City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Longford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Cork City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
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Cork City

(Away)
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)