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Longford vs Wexford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Bartley R. In: Ritchie R.
Out: Bartley R.
31' Event
Rowe M.
33'
McKenna D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Longford and Wexford finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wexford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Longford
35%
Draws
25%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Longford come out ahead of Wexford on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Longford Clean Sheet 16%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Wexford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
3:3
Jul 25, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
1:2
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Murtagh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Sullivan Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 30 / 100
Wexford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Wexford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Longford scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Wexford conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Longford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Wexford
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

Wexford

(Away)
09 Oct
Bray
2 : 2
Wexford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)