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Lootos FCR vs Retro

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lootos FCR play Retro in the Estonian Cup 2015/2016. Retro are favorites here. Recently, Lootos FCR averaged 1 goals scored and 8.5 conceded. Retro averaged 4.89 goals scored and 4.78 conceded. In past meetings, Lootos FCR won 0, Retro won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 11, 2015 ended 0:12. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Lootos FCR and 4.00 for Retro. This points to a Retro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Lootos FCR
25%
Draws
60%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Lootos FCR picked up more points recently compared to Retro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lootos FCR Clean Sheet 10%
Retro Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lootos FCR Retro
Matches Played 2 9
Wins 0 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1 4.89
Goals Conceded 8.5 4.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 5.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 8.50 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2015 Estonian Cup
Lootos FCR vs Retro
0:12

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lootos FCR 16 / 100
Retro 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lootos FCR Retro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Retro & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6%
1.06
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lootos FCR attacking → ← attacking Retro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lootos FCR scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Retro let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 12.00 goals.

Lootos FCR went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Retro lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 18
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 5.50
8.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25