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Lorca Deportiva II vs Caravaca

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Lorca Deportiva II and Caravaca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lorca Deportiva II
39%
Draws
30%
Caravaca
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Caravaca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caravaca have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 20%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva II Caravaca
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Caravaca
1:2
Nov 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Lorca Deportiva II
3:0
Mar 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Caravaca
0:1
Nov 11, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Lorca Deportiva II
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva II 32 / 100
Caravaca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva II Caravaca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lorca Deportiva II scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Caravaca let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Lorca Deportiva II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caravaca
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lorqu38289184:2993
2Sangonera382213378:3479
3Real Murcia B38247775:3079
4Caravaca382210693:3876
5Pinatar382112590:3875
6Calasparra FC381811962:4565
7Cartagena La Union381614855:3962
8Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas3816121060:4460
9Moratalla381781356:4159
10Ciudad Cieza3815101366:6155
11Santomera3814111346:4453
12Yeclano381471762:5449
13Muleno CF381432143:6445
14Futbol Club Jumilla381091945:6639
15Lorca Deportiva II381142339:5337
16Ciudad Lorca381042450:9834
17Bala Azul38892142:7133
18Club Olimpico de Totana38852541:9129
19CD Alquerias38572627:8322
20Ad Ceuti Atletico38413325:11613