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Lorca Deportiva vs Beniel

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beniel in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beniel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Lorca Deportiva
20%
Draws
48%
Beniel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beniel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lorca Deportiva lately — more wins on the board than Beniel.
  • Win probability leans Lorca Deportiva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Beniel have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Beniel Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva Beniel
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 11 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 0.86 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Beniel
0:2
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs Lorca Deportiva
3:0
Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs Lorca Deportiva
3:2
Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Beniel
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva 85 / 100
Beniel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva Beniel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beniel has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Beniel has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lorca Deportiva scored in 53% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lorca Deportiva VS Beniel
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca Deportiva

(Home)
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1
Murcia
Page 1 of 8

Beniel

(Away)
11 May
Beniel
0 : 4
Plus Ultra
05 May
CA Pulpileno
5 : 1
Beniel
27 Apr
Beniel
1 : 3
Futbol Club Jumilla
20 Apr
Beniel
2 : 0
Molina
14 Apr
Deportiva Minera
4 : 0
Beniel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)