Sport Picks
Lorca Deportiva vs Bullense Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 
Match Events
3'
3'
Membrives C.
60'
60'
Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
77'
77'
Hamza E. H.
AI Match Summary
Lorca Deportiva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lorca Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lorca Deportiva lately — more wins on the board than Bullense.
- Lorca Deportiva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lorca Deportiva here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Bullense Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Bullense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Bullense
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Lorca Deportiva
0:2
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Lorca Deportiva
2:4
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Bullense
8:0
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Bullense
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vazquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Bullense Compare
Top Goalscorer Membrives C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorca Deportiva 95 / 100
Bullense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorca Deportiva Bullense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Bullense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Lorca Deportiva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Lorca Deportiva scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Lorca Deportiva VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorca Deportiva
(Home) 27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 4
Bullense
(Away) 11 May
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 1 Bullense
04 May
Bullense
0 : 5 Santomera
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Bullense
19 Apr
Bullense
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
13 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Bullense
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 1 Bullense
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Bullense
13 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Bullense
30 Mar
Ciudad Cieza
2 : 0 Bullense
23 Mar
Molinense
3 : 1 Bullense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:22 | 78 |
| 2 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 73:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 54:24 | 67 |
| 4 | Santomera | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 66:42 | 62 |
| 5 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:23 | 62 |
| 6 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:23 | 55 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:31 | 49 |
| 9 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34:27 | 44 |
| 11 | Caravaca | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | 37 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | 37 |
| 14 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Minerva | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:45 | 34 |
| 16 | Bullense | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 17 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21:65 | 28 |
| 18 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 23:92 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
