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Lorca Deportiva vs Cartagena FC UCAM

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorca Deportiva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lorca Deportiva
17%
Draws
13%
Cartagena FC UCAM
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lorca Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lorca Deportiva have won more games recently than Cartagena FC UCAM.
  • Win probability leans Lorca Deportiva's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Cartagena FC UCAM Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva Cartagena FC UCAM
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Cartagena FC UCAM
2:0
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Lorca Deportiva
0:0
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Lorca Deportiva
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Cartagena FC UCAM
5:0
Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Lorca Deportiva
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva 77 / 100
Cartagena FC UCAM 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva Cartagena FC UCAM

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorca Deportiva's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cartagena FC UCAM let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cartagena FC UCAM's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lorca Deportiva VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yeclano34248271:2180
2FC Cartagena SAD B34179861:3260
3Racing Murcia341512748:2757
4UCAM Murcia B341591049:3454
5La Union (Malacitano)341591044:3154
6Lorca Deportiva341510952:4253
7Real Murcia B341491149:4651
8Caravaca3413111044:4050
9Ciudad de Murcia341381347:4547
10Bullense341271534:5043
11E.G. El Palmar3411101341:4443
12Archena Sport341271548:4943
13Deportiva Minera341261639:5142
14Bala Azul3410101430:4540
15Cartagena FC UCAM341081635:4938
16Mazarron CF341071733:4837
17Huercal-Overa CF345101926:5425
18UD Los Garres34482223:6620