Sport Picks
Lorca Deportiva vs Huercal-Overa CF
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 game between Lorca Deportiva and Huercal-Overa CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorca Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Huercal-Overa CF haven't matched Lorca Deportiva's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lorca Deportiva a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lorca Deportiva have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Huercal-Overa CF Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Huercal-Overa CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Huercal-Overa CF
1:0
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs Lorca Deportiva
0:2
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs Lorca Deportiva
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Huercal-Overa CF
4:1
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Huercal-Overa CF
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorca Deportiva 95 / 100
Huercal-Overa CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorca Deportiva Huercal-Overa CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Huercal-Overa CF registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Huercal-Overa CF let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Lorca Deportiva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lorca Deportiva VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorca Deportiva
(Home) 27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
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27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
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Huercal-Overa CF
(Away) 01 May
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1 Mazarron FC
24 Apr
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Huercal-Overa CF
16 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1 Ciudad de Murcia
09 Apr
Yeclano
3 : 0 Huercal-Overa CF
03 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1 Bullense
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24 Apr
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Huercal-Overa CF
09 Apr
Yeclano
3 : 0 Huercal-Overa CF
27 Mar
FC Cartagena SAD B
5 : 0 Huercal-Overa CF
13 Mar
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Huercal-Overa CF
27 Feb
Real Murcia B
1 : 0 Huercal-Overa CF
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeclano | 34 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 71:21 | 80 |
| 2 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:32 | 60 |
| 3 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 48:27 | 57 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 49:34 | 54 |
| 5 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:31 | 54 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 52:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 49:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Caravaca | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 9 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:45 | 47 |
| 10 | Bullense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 34:50 | 43 |
| 11 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Archena Sport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 48:49 | 43 |
| 13 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 14 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30:45 | 40 |
| 15 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:49 | 38 |
| 16 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:48 | 37 |
| 17 | Huercal-Overa CF | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26:54 | 25 |
| 18 | UD Los Garres | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23:66 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
