Sport Picks
Lorca Deportiva vs Pinatar Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca 
AI Match Summary
Lorca Deportiva in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lorca Deportiva lately — more wins on the board than Pinatar.
- Model gives Pinatar a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 10%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Pinatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Pinatar
2:0
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Lorca Deportiva
0:4
Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Pinatar
0:2
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Lorca Deportiva
0:1
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Pinatar
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorca Deportiva 10 / 100
Pinatar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorca Deportiva Pinatar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lorca Deportiva scored in 64% of their last 39 games.
Pinatar let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Lorca Deportiva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lorca Deportiva VS Pinatar
0.5 Goals Scored 4
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorca Deportiva
(Home) 27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 5
Pinatar
(Away) 26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0 Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1 EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
Page 1 of 7
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
08 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
2 : 1 Pinatar
25 Mar
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 3 Pinatar
18 Mar
UCAM Murcia B
2 : 1 Pinatar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 64:16 | 78 |
| 2 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 62:29 | 77 |
| 3 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71:30 | 66 |
| 4 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58:39 | 63 |
| 5 | Yeclano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:27 | 62 |
| 6 | La Union CF | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 51:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Huercal-Overa CF | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 42:41 | 50 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 9 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56:61 | 46 |
| 10 | Muleno CF | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:48 | 45 |
| 11 | Estudiantes de Murcia CF | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 50:42 | 41 |
| 12 | EDMF Churra | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 37:45 | 41 |
| 13 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:56 | 39 |
| 14 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 35 |
| 15 | Pinatar | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 41:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 17 | EF Alhama | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 39:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Caravaca | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 29:113 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
