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Lorca FC vs Futbol Club Jumilla Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda Division B - Group 4 2018/2019 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Sun, Apr 28, 2019
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorca FC host Futbol Club Jumilla in the Segunda Division B - Group 4 2018/2019. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Lorca FC at 0.5 goals for, 2.57 against; Futbol Club Jumilla at 0.82 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Lorca FC have won 1 to Futbol Club Jumilla's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.56) back Futbol Club Jumilla to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Lorca FC
20%
Draws
70%
Futbol Club Jumilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Futbol Club Jumilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Futbol Club Jumilla lately — more wins on the board than Lorca FC.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Futbol Club Jumilla taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division B - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lorca FC Clean Sheet 15%
Futbol Club Jumilla Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca FC Futbol Club Jumilla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca FC vs Futbol Club Jumilla
0:0
Dec 9, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Futbol Club Jumilla vs Lorca FC
0:0
Apr 2, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca FC vs Futbol Club Jumilla
2:2
Nov 6, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Futbol Club Jumilla vs Lorca FC
1:1
Mar 27, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca FC vs Futbol Club Jumilla
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca FC 10 / 100
Futbol Club Jumilla 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca FC Futbol Club Jumilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Futbol Club Jumilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Futbol Club Jumilla has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Lorca FC found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Lorca FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorca FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca FC

(Home)
13 Jun
Lorca FC
1 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
06 Jun
Minerva
2 : 1
Lorca FC
30 May
Lorca FC
0 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 May
Plus Ultra
2 : 1
Lorca FC
16 May
Lorca FC
1 : 3
Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 6

Futbol Club Jumilla

(Away)
02 Jun
Real Union
2 : 0
Futbol Club Jumilla
26 May
Futbol Club Jumilla
2 : 2
Real Union
19 May
Futbol Club Jumilla
1 : 2
Marbella
12 May
CD San Fernando
0 : 1
Futbol Club Jumilla
05 May
Futbol Club Jumilla
1 : 0
Ejido
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recreativo Huelva 38 23 9 6 50:23 78
2 FC Cartagena SAD 38 22 9 7 62:27 75
3 Melilla 38 21 9 8 55:32 72
4 CD Badajoz 38 19 9 10 44:31 66
5 UCAM Murcia 38 20 6 12 54:40 66
6 UD Ibiza 38 17 12 9 41:31 63
7 Marbella 38 17 9 12 42:33 60
8 CD San Fernando 38 17 9 12 44:36 60
9 CF Talavera 38 14 8 16 34:34 50
10 Sevilla B 38 13 9 16 37:46 48
11 Murcia 38 11 15 12 32:32 48
12 Linense 38 11 13 14 33:33 46
13 Sanluqueno 38 12 10 16 32:48 46
14 Granada CF B 38 11 12 15 37:42 45
15 Don Benito 38 11 11 16 38:49 44
16 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 11 10 17 31:42 43
17 Ejido 38 10 9 19 29:47 39
18 Villanovense 38 7 17 14 32:40 38
19 Malaga B 38 7 8 23 27:54 29
20 Almeria B 38 5 8 25 27:61 23
Relegation - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Out)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Winners Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Losers Play Offs)