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Lorca FC vs Huercal-Overa CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2020/2021 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2020/2021 game between Lorca FC and Huercal-Overa CF finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lorca FC
39%
Draws
31%
Huercal-Overa CF
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Huercal-Overa CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Lorca FC Clean Sheet 68%
Huercal-Overa CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca FC Huercal-Overa CF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs Huercal-Overa CF
3:1
Dec 6, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs Lorca FC
3:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs Huercal-Overa CF
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs Lorca FC
0:0
Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs Huercal-Overa CF
6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca FC 41 / 100
Huercal-Overa CF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca FC Huercal-Overa CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Huercal-Overa CF has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Huercal-Overa CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lorca FC scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huercal-Overa CF
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Murcia B20135236:1444
2Aguilas FC20135243:844
3CA Pulpileno20127130:1143
4UD Los Garres2076722:2127
5Bullense2076723:2527
6UCAM Murcia B2068628:2326
7Club Olimpico de Totana2065917:2323
8E.G. El Palmar2057826:2822
9Minerva20621224:3620
10EDMF Churra20441217:3616
11Plus Ultra20231511:529
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC20134327:1243
2FC Cartagena SAD B20117238:1040
3Racing Murcia20107325:937
4La Union (Malacitano)20106433:1936
5Cartagena FC UCAM2095630:2732
6Mazarron CF2075821:1926
7Deportiva Minera2059618:2024
8Huercal-Overa CF20641017:2722
9Ciudad de Murcia2056913:1821
10Muleno CF20441218:3116
11Lorca FC2011189:574