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Stadium Background

Lorient vs Troyes

France France

Ligue 1 Stade du Moustoir
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorient host Troyes in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lorient at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Troyes at 2 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Lorient have won 3 to Troyes's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Troyes. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Lorient
22%
Draws
60%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Troyes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lorient Clean Sheet 13%
Troyes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient Troyes
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 13 17
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Lorient
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Lorient vs Troyes
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Troyes
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Lorient
2:2
May 21, 2022 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Troyes
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient 19 / 100
Troyes 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient Troyes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Troyes let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lorient went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient VS Troyes
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auxerre00000:00
2Le Havre00000:00
3Le Mans00000:00
4Lille00000:00
5Lorient00000:00
6Monaco00000:00
7Nice00000:00
8PSG00000:00
9Strasbourg00000:00
10Angers00000:00
11Brest00000:00
12Troyes00000:00
13Paris FC00000:00
14Marseille00000:00
15Toulouse00000:00
16Lens00000:00
17Rennes00000:00
18Lyon00000:00