Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Senaya M.
Assist: Diomande S.
19'
19'
Dieng B.
Assist: Yongwa D.
20'
20'
Dieng B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Auxerre haven't matched Lorient's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lorient a 48% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lorient Clean Sheet 68%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorient | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Auxerre
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Lorient
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Auxerre
0:1
Sep 16, 2022 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Lorient
1:3
May 1, 2020 Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Lorient
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorient Compare
Top Goalscorer Dieng B.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Auxerre Compare
Top Goalscorer Senaya M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Casimir J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorient 95 / 100
Auxerre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorient Auxerre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lorient scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Auxerre let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Lorient went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lorient VS Auxerre
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorient
(Home) 08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1 Lorient
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1 UNFP
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2 Lorient
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0 Nantes
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2 Lorient
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1 UNFP
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0 Nantes
17 May
Lorient
0 : 2 Le Havre
26 Apr
Lorient
2 : 3 Strasbourg
18 Apr
Lorient
2 : 0 Marseille
Page 1 of 3
Auxerre
(Away) 08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1 Troyes
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1 Auxerre
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2 Orleans
18 Jul
Auxerre
5 : 2 St. Maur Lusitanos
17 May
Lille
0 : 2 Auxerre
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1 Auxerre
17 May
Lille
0 : 2 Auxerre
25 Apr
Lyon
3 : 2 Auxerre
19 Apr
Monaco
2 : 2 Auxerre
05 Apr
Le Havre
1 : 1 Auxerre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
