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Lorient vs Fleury-Merogis

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Siba S.
10' Event
Lavigne V.
23' Event
Fadiga B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Lorient and Fleury-Merogis finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorient.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Lorient
20%
Draws
15%
Fleury-Merogis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis haven't matched Lorient's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Lorient taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lorient Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient Fleury-Merogis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Fleury-Merogis
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumano S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Siba S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavigne V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient 76 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient Fleury-Merogis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Lorient found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Fleury-Merogis conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lorient stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient VS Fleury-Merogis
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient

(Home)
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1
Lorient
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1
UNFP
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
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Fleury-Merogis

(Away)
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 0
Amiens SC
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
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