Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorient vs Troyes

France France

Ligue 1 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorient host Troyes in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lorient at 1.86 goals for, 1.04 against; Troyes at 1.96 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Lorient have won 3 to Troyes's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.69, favoring Troyes. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lorient
20%
Draws
38%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lorient are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lorient Clean Sheet 13%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient Troyes
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Lorient
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Lorient vs Troyes
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Troyes
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Lorient
2:2
May 21, 2022 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Troyes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient 35 / 100
Troyes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Troyes let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lorient went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient VS Troyes
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient

(Home)
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1
UNFP
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
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Troyes

(Away)
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2
GOAL FC
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0
Red Star
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auxerre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Le Havre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Le Mans 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Lille 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lorient 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Nice 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 PSG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Strasbourg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Angers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Brest 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Troyes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Marseille 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Toulouse 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Lens 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Rennes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Lyon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)