Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorient vs Troyes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ripart R.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Maronnier L.
Assist: Mille A.
51' Event
Makengo J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Lorient and Troyes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lorient
30%
Draws
31%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Troyes's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Lorient have produced (1.7).
  • Lorient are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lorient Clean Sheet 68%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient Troyes
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Troyes
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Lorient
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Lorient vs Troyes
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Troyes
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Lorient
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient Compare

Top Goalscorer Makengo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Maronnier L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient 86 / 100
Troyes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Troyes let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Lorient went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient VS Troyes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient

(Home)
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

Troyes

(Away)
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)