Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorient W vs Paris FC W

France France

Coupe de France Women 2021/2022 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bourdieu M.
14' Event
Mateo C.
38' Event
Thiney G.

AI Match Summary

Paris FC W in this Coupe de France Women 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-9. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lorient W
15%
Draws
85%
Paris FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paris FC W lately — more wins on the board than Lorient W.
  • Model gives Paris FC W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Paris FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paris FC W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Lorient W Clean Sheet 12%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient W Paris FC W
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 5 1
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2022 Coupe de France Women
Lorient W vs Paris FC W
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourdieu M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Mateo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient W 10 / 100
Paris FC W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient W Paris FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Paris FC W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lorient W scored in 56% of their last 36 games.

Paris FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paris FC W
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient W

(Home)
11 Jan
Lorient W
1 : 7
Le Mans W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1
Lorient W
09 Jan
Lorient W
0 : 9
Paris FC W
20 May
Metz W
4 : 0
Lorient W
13 May
Lorient W
1 : 4
Brest W
Page 1 of 8

Paris FC W

(Away)
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2
Paris FC W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
23 Aug
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Paris FC W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Calais Pascal W 3
Saint Vit W 0
Grenoble W 0
Rodez AF W 1
Yzeure Allier W 2
Toulouse W 1
Issy W 1
Lille W 5
Monaco W 3
Colomiers W 1
Lens W 1
Reims W 3
Soyaux W 2
Orleans W 1
Nantes W 2
Guingamp W 1
Lorient W 0
Paris FC W 9
Saint-Malo W 1
Le Havre W 2
Strasbourg W 2
Brest W 1
Nice W 0
Fleury 91 W 3
Albi-Marssac W 2
Le Puy W 0
St Etienne W 2
Montpellier W 7
Dijon W 0
PSG W 1
Bordeaux W 0
OL Lyonnes W 4
1/8-finals
Calais Pascal W 0
Rodez AF W 4
Yzeure Allier W 2
Lille W 1
Monaco W 0
Reims W 4
Soyaux W 0
Nantes W 3
Paris FC W 5
Le Havre W 1
Strasbourg W 1
Fleury 91 W 4
Albi-Marssac W 0
Montpellier W 6
PSG W 3
OL Lyonnes W 0
Quarter-finals
Rodez AF W 0
Yzeure Allier W 1
Reims W 0
Nantes W 1
Paris FC W 1
Fleury 91 W 2
Montpellier W 1
PSG W 3
Semi-finals
Yzeure Allier W 2
Nantes W 1
Fleury 91 W 2
PSG W 4
Final
Yzeure Allier W 0
PSG W 8