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Lornano Badesse vs Grassina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Sorrentino D.
73' Event
Corsi T.

AI Match Summary

Lornano Badesse in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lornano Badesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lornano Badesse
20%
Draws
10%
Grassina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lornano Badesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Grassina haven't matched Lornano Badesse's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Lornano Badesse taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 20%
Grassina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lornano Badesse Grassina
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Grassina
2:0
Jan 24, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Lornano Badesse
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lornano Badesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorrentino D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corsi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Grassina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lornano Badesse 85 / 100
Grassina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lornano Badesse Grassina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Grassina conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Lornano Badesse found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lornano Badesse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lornano Badesse VS Grassina
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Lornano Badesse

(Home)
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0
Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0
Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3
Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1
Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Lornano Badesse
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Grassina

(Away)
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Grassina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevarchi 34 21 8 5 68:32 71
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 56:38 60
3 Sporting Trestina 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
4 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 14 12 8 48:40 54
5 Siena 34 15 8 11 48:40 53
6 Follonica Gavorrano 34 14 9 11 48:37 51
7 Pianese 34 13 12 9 41:34 51
8 Lornano Badesse 34 13 9 12 51:44 48
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 13 8 13 44:48 47
10 Cannara 34 12 11 11 41:48 47
11 Sangiovannese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
12 Montespaccato 34 11 8 15 40:47 41
13 Ostiamare 34 8 15 11 50:54 39
14 Flaminia 34 9 12 13 44:57 39
15 Foligno 34 9 9 16 35:48 36
16 Scandicci 34 10 7 17 42:49 35
17 Grassina 34 6 12 16 32:52 30
18 UC Sinalunghese 34 4 11 19 24:58 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)