Sport Picks
Lornano Badesse vs Sporting Trestina
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 
Match Events
2'
2'
Lucatti G.
(Penalty)
31'
31'
Lucatti G.
48'
48'
Gramaccia S.
AI Match Summary
Lornano Badesse in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lornano Badesse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lornano Badesse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Sporting Trestina haven't matched Lornano Badesse's recent run of results.
- Lornano Badesse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lornano Badesse | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Sporting Trestina
3:1
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Lornano Badesse
1:2
May 2, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Lornano Badesse
1:1
Oct 18, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Sporting Trestina
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lornano Badesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Sporting Trestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Gramaccia S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lornano Badesse 95 / 100
Sporting Trestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lornano Badesse Sporting Trestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Trestina let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.
Lornano Badesse found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Lornano Badesse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sporting Trestina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lornano Badesse
(Home) 15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3 Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
14 Apr
Lornano Badesse
3 : 1 Sporting Trestina
03 Apr
Lornano Badesse
0 : 0 Mobilieri Ponsacco
13 Mar
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Flaminia
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Trestina
(Away) 20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86:30 | 81 |
| 2 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 61:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Arezzo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 65:45 | 64 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 63:30 | 63 |
| 5 | Pianese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 6 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47:43 | 54 |
| 7 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49:50 | 46 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 10 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Mobilieri Ponsacco | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 12 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 14 | FC Rieti | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 39:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:65 | 35 |
| 16 | Unipomezia | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:64 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Pro Livorno | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:84 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)
