Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lornano Badesse vs UC Sinalunghese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lornano Badesse play UC Sinalunghese in the Serie D - Group E 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lornano Badesse averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. UC Sinalunghese averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Lornano Badesse won 1, UC Sinalunghese won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Lornano Badesse and 1.56 for UC Sinalunghese. This points to a Lornano Badesse double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Lornano Badesse
26%
Draws
19%
UC Sinalunghese
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Lornano Badesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Lornano Badesse picked up more points recently compared to UC Sinalunghese.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 15%
UC Sinalunghese Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lornano Badesse UC Sinalunghese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.44 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs UC Sinalunghese
1:2
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group E
UC Sinalunghese vs Lornano Badesse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lornano Badesse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UC Sinalunghese Compare

Top Goalscorer Redi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lornano Badesse 53 / 100
UC Sinalunghese 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lornano Badesse UC Sinalunghese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lornano Badesse & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lornano Badesse attacking → ← attacking UC Sinalunghese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lornano Badesse scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

UC Sinalunghese let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lornano Badesse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UC Sinalunghese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 18
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montevarchi34218568:3271
2Trastevere Calcio34179856:3860
3Sporting Trestina341511848:3356
4San Donato Tavarnelle341412848:4054
5Siena341581148:4053
6Follonica Gavorrano341491148:3751
7Pianese341312941:3451
8Lornano Badesse341391251:4448
9Tiferno Lerchi341381344:4847
10Cannara3412111141:4847
11Sangiovannese341291342:4345
12Montespaccato341181540:4741
13Ostiamare348151150:5439
14Flaminia349121344:5739
15Foligno34991635:4836
16Scandicci341071742:4935
17Grassina346121632:5230
18UC Sinalunghese344111924:5823