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Los Almendros vs San Lorenzo del Beni Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Los Almendros and San Lorenzo del Beni finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Lorenzo del Beni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Los Almendros
20%
Draws
48%
San Lorenzo del Beni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Lorenzo del Beni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Los Almendros haven't matched San Lorenzo del Beni's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Los Almendros's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Los Almendros Clean Sheet 10%
San Lorenzo del Beni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Almendros San Lorenzo del Beni
Matches Played 12 20
Wins 2 7
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.42 3.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Los Almendros vs San Lorenzo del Beni
1:2
Jun 3, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Lorenzo del Beni vs Los Almendros
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Almendros 83 / 100
San Lorenzo del Beni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Almendros San Lorenzo del Beni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Almendros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo del Beni let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Attacking prowess: Los Almendros scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Lorenzo del Beni's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Almendros VS San Lorenzo del Beni
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Almendros

(Home)
16 Jul
Los Almendros
1 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
02 Jul
Alianza Beni
0 : 0
Los Almendros
17 Jun
Los Almendros
2 : 2
Universitario Beni
03 Jun
San Lorenzo del Beni
2 : 1
Los Almendros
27 May
Los Almendros
0 : 2
Alianza Beni
Page 1 of 3

San Lorenzo del Beni

(Away)
28 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
12 : 0
San Lorenzo del Beni
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3
Atletico Bermejo
08 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
1 : 5
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
16 Jul
Los Almendros
1 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario Beni 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 San Lorenzo del Beni 6 2 3 1 6:8 9
3 Alianza Beni 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
4 Los Almendros 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fancesa 8 5 3 0 19:4 18
2 Nacional Sucre 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Atletico Sucre 8 3 2 3 17:15 11
5 Independiente Recreo 8 0 0 8 6:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 5 2 1 17:5 17
2 Pasion Celeste 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 Real Mizque 8 3 4 1 8:7 13
4 Enrique Happ 8 2 4 2 12:7 10
5 Israel University 8 0 0 8 4:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatic 8 5 3 0 24:7 18
2 Academia del Balompie 8 3 3 2 24:9 12
3 Hiska Nacional 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
4 Chaco Petrolero 8 3 3 2 15:14 12
5 Huayna Potosi Palcoco 8 0 0 8 7:42 -2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 8 6 2 0 23:7 20
2 Sur-Car 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
3 Real Oruro 8 3 3 2 20:9 12
4 Em Huanuni 8 2 2 4 15:12 8
5 CM Poopo 8 1 0 7 4:36 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Pando 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Real Mapajo 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Stormers SL 6 3 2 1 10:2 11
3 Rosario Central 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Huracan Tupiza 6 0 1 5 0:19 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 8 6 1 1 25:8 19
2 Torre Fuerte 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
3 24 de Septiembre 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
4 River 66 8 1 2 5 9:22 5
5 Universidad Crucena 8 1 2 5 6:20 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
2 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 Atletico Bermejo 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Ciclon 8 1 4 3 4:8 7
5 Garcia Agreda 8 0 4 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams