Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Andes vs Ferro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Eduardo Gallardo, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Nazareno K. In: Corda S.
Out: Nazareno K.
15' Event
Gomez N.
32'
Ozuna E.

AI Match Summary

Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Los Andes
15%
Draws
59%
Ferro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Los Andes haven't matched Ferro's recent run of results.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Los Andes Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Andes Ferro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.72 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs Ferro
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Los Andes
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs Ferro
0:1
May 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Los Andes
2:0
Sep 30, 2018 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs Ferro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Andes Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parisi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Andes 41 / 100
Ferro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Andes Ferro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Andes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Los Andes scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Ferro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Los Andes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Andes VS Ferro
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Andes

(Home)
16 Aug
Temperley
3 : 0
Los Andes
09 Aug
Los Andes
1 : 2
Ferro
02 Aug
Central Norte
1 : 0
Los Andes
26 Jul
Los Andes
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
11 Jul
Los Andes
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Ferro

(Away)
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
09 Aug
Los Andes
1 : 2
Ferro
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3
Godoy Cruz
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0
Ferro
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 25 15 4 6 31:23 49
2 Deportivo Moron 25 13 6 6 41:24 45
3 Colon Santa Fe 25 11 9 5 32:19 42
4 Deportivo Madryn 25 10 10 5 36:24 40
5 Godoy Cruz 25 11 7 7 29:22 40
6 Almirante Brown 25 10 8 7 20:16 38
7 CA Estudiantes 25 9 8 8 22:20 35
8 Ciudad Bolivar 25 8 10 7 21:22 34
9 Los Andes 24 8 9 7 20:14 33
10 Racing Cordoba 25 8 7 10 23:28 31
11 San Miguel 24 6 11 7 19:23 29
12 CA Mitre 26 6 11 9 25:33 29
13 All Boys 25 5 12 8 15:23 27
14 Defensores de Belgrano 24 5 11 8 16:21 26
15 San Telmo 25 5 9 11 20:29 24
16 Central Norte 24 5 9 10 15:24 24
17 Chaco For Ever 24 5 7 12 21:29 22
18 Acassuso 25 5 7 13 18:30 22
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 24 12 9 3 26:13 45
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 25 13 5 7 36:29 44
3 Temperley 25 10 10 5 27:21 40
4 Atletico Atlanta 24 12 3 9 30:25 39
5 Midland 24 10 8 6 26:17 38
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 25 10 8 7 26:22 38
7 Deportivo Maipu 25 10 5 10 33:27 35
8 Atl. Rafaela 25 9 8 8 18:19 35
9 Quilmes 25 8 8 9 27:21 32
10 San Martin T. 25 7 11 7 24:22 32
11 Colegiales 24 8 6 10 23:25 30
12 Almagro 25 8 6 11 21:29 30
13 San Martin S.J. 23 7 8 8 23:23 29
14 Nueva Chicago 24 7 8 9 20:23 29
15 Agropecuario 25 7 8 10 22:28 29
16 Chacarita Juniors 25 7 6 12 18:26 27
17 Patronato 24 4 12 8 18:26 24
18 Club Atletico Guemes 25 5 6 14 21:43 21
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)