Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders

USA USA

MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Sub
Dotson H. In: Brunell S.
Out: Dotson H.
63'
Sub
Kim Kee-Hee In: Lopez A.
Out: Kim Kee-Hee
69'
Sub
Rothrock P. In: Musovski D.
Out: Rothrock P.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Los Angeles FC and Seattle Sounders finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Angeles FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Los Angeles FC
6%
Draws
4%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Los Angeles FC haven't matched Seattle Sounders's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Los Angeles FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 16%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders
1:0
May 15, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders
4:0
Mar 8, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
5:2
Nov 24, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders
1:2
Aug 29, 2024 US Open Cup
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tillman T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Seattle Sounders Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 84 / 100
Seattle Sounders 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Seattle Sounders let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Los Angeles FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Seattle Sounders
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
Los Angeles FC
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
18 May
Nashville SC
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC
14 May
St. Louis City
2 : 1
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5
Portland Timbers
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
17 May
Seattle Sounders
0 : 2
Los Angeles Galaxy
14 May
Seattle Sounders
3 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes
10 May
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1
San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)