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Los Angeles FC vs Austin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC host Austin FC in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Los Angeles FC at 1.39 goals for, 1.23 against; Austin FC at 1.43 for, 1.53 against. Head-to-head, Los Angeles FC have won 2 to Austin FC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Los Angeles FC to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Los Angeles FC
35%
Draws
38%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austin FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Angeles FC come out ahead of Austin FC on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 20%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Austin FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC
0:0
Nov 3, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC
1:4
Oct 30, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Austin FC
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Austin FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 32 / 100
Austin FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Austin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Austin FC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Austin FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
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Austin FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)