Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Son Heung-Min
45'
Moore S.
55' Event
Martinez D.
Assist: Eustaquio S.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Los Angeles FC and FC Dallas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Angeles FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Los Angeles FC
30%
Draws
51%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Angeles FC haven't matched FC Dallas's recent run of results.
  • FC Dallas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 14%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC FC Dallas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 MLS
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Dallas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 27 / 100
FC Dallas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dallas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FC Dallas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS FC Dallas
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
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FC Dallas

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)