Sport Picks
Los Angeles FC vs Guadalajara Chivas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
Leagues Cup BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA 
Match Events
13'
13'
Gonzalez F.
38'
38'
Bouanga D.
Assist: Martinez D.
42'
42'
Alvarado R.
Assist: Gonzalez B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Los Angeles FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas's way, sitting at 50%.
- Los Angeles FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Los Angeles FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 13%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 Leagues Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Guadalajara Chivas
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Los Angeles FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouanga D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarado R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Los Angeles FC 22 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Los Angeles FC Guadalajara Chivas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Los Angeles FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Los Angeles FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Guadalajara Chivas has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Los Angeles FC VS Guadalajara Chivas
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Los Angeles FC
(Home) 11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0 New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0 New York Red Bulls
23 Aug
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1 Portland Timbers
16 Aug
Los Angeles FC
0 : 1 San Diego FC
13 Aug
Los Angeles FC
2 : 1 Queretaro
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas
(Away) 11 Oct
Atlas
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0 Club America
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Atlas
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
17 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
