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Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Los Angeles FC Logo

Los Angeles FC

2 - 0
FT
New York Red Bulls Logo

New York Red Bulls

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Nealis D.
21' Event
Terry J.
33'
Sub
Mehmeti A. In: Kone S.
Out: Mehmeti A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Angeles FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Los Angeles FC
20%
Draws
51%
New York Red Bulls
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New York Red Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Angeles FC come out ahead of New York Red Bulls on wins alone.
  • New York Red Bulls are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 20%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC New York Red Bulls
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
2:2
Jun 26, 2022 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
2:0
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
6:1
Jul 19, 2020 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Terry J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sieb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

New York Red Bulls Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 28 / 100
New York Red Bulls 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC New York Red Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York Red Bulls Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Los Angeles FC scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS New York Red Bulls
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

New York Red Bulls

(Away)
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)