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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Chicago Fire

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles Galaxy play Chicago Fire in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Angeles Galaxy averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Chicago Fire averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 1, Chicago Fire won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.88 for Chicago Fire. This points to a Chicago Fire double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Los Angeles Galaxy
23%
Draws
43%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Angeles Galaxy picked up more points recently compared to Chicago Fire.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy Chicago Fire
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.64 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Chicago Fire
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Chicago Fire
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2:1
Aug 27, 2023 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Chicago Fire
3:0
Apr 17, 2022 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 33 / 100
Chicago Fire 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy Chicago Fire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chicago Fire or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Angeles Galaxy attacking → ← attacking Chicago Fire

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Chicago Fire let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Los Angeles Galaxy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chicago Fire lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 51
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63