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Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
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Match Events

10'
Sands W.
11' Event
Reus M.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Taylor R.
Assist: Lozano H.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Los Angeles Galaxy and New England Revolution finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Angeles Galaxy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Los Angeles Galaxy
15%
Draws
40%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Angeles Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New England Revolution come out ahead of Los Angeles Galaxy on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Los Angeles Galaxy's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Los Angeles Galaxy here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 13%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy New England Revolution
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution
2:1
Aug 29, 2022 MLS
New England Revolution vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:2
Feb 6, 2022 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0:4
Apr 1, 2021 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution
1:4
Mar 28, 2021 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles Galaxy Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

New England Revolution Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 66 / 100
New England Revolution 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Angeles Galaxy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Los Angeles Galaxy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles Galaxy VS New England Revolution
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles Galaxy

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)