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Los Cabos United vs Celaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Cabos United host Celaya in the Primera Premier. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Los Cabos United at 1.1 goals for, 1.55 against; Celaya at 1.83 for, 0.97 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.75) point toward Celaya. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Los Cabos United
15%
Draws
37%
Celaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Cabos United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Los Cabos United haven't matched Celaya's recent run of results.
  • Los Cabos United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 12%
Celaya Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Cabos United Celaya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Cabos United 40 / 100
Celaya 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Cabos United Celaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Cabos United's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Los Cabos United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Celaya has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Celaya has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Cabos United VS Celaya
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Cabos United

(Home)
10 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
05 Oct
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Cordobes FC
27 Sept
Purepechas
0 : 1
Los Cabos United
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
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Celaya

(Away)
10 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 1
Celaya
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 7 7 0 0 16:4 22
2 Tigres de Alica 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
3 Reboceros de La Piedad 7 5 0 2 12:11 14
4 Zacatepec 7 3 1 3 8:9 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Lobos ULMX 7 2 1 4 7:11 7
7 Cordobes FC 7 2 1 4 5:9 7
8 Purepechas 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
9 Tritones Vallarta 7 0 2 5 4:9 2
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 7 5 2 0 19:7 19
2 Pioneros 7 5 1 1 18:7 17
3 Celaya 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 7 3 2 2 6:5 12
5 Chapulineros 8 3 2 3 11:15 11
6 Deportiva Venados 7 2 2 3 14:14 9
7 Montaneses 8 3 1 4 12:15 9
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
9 Tapachula 7 1 0 6 7:20 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)