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Los Cabos United vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Los Cabos United Logo

Los Cabos United

2 - 0
FT
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Corona N.
79' Event
Corona N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Los Cabos United and Cimarrones de Sonora 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Cabos United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Los Cabos United
15%
Draws
49%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Cabos United's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have produced (1.03).
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Cimarrones de Sonora 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Los Cabos United have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 17%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Cabos United Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Los Cabos United
0:1
Jan 15, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1:4
Sep 3, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Los Cabos United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Cabos United Compare

Top Goalscorer Corona N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Cabos United 15 / 100
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Cabos United Cimarrones de Sonora 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Cabos United found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Los Cabos United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Cabos United VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Cabos United

(Home)
05 Oct
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Cordobes FC
27 Sept
Purepechas
0 : 1
Los Cabos United
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Away)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)