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Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Chacon Guzman E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Los Cabos United and Tritones Vallarta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Cabos United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Los Cabos United
20%
Draws
15%
Tritones Vallarta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Cabos United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Tritones Vallarta have managed 0.96 goals a game lately — Los Cabos United are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 20%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Cabos United Tritones Vallarta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.52 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Premier
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
4:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Cabos United Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon Guzman E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Tritones Vallarta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Cabos United 31 / 100
Tritones Vallarta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Cabos United Tritones Vallarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Cabos United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Cabos United scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Tritones Vallarta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Los Cabos United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Cabos United VS Tritones Vallarta
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Cabos United

(Home)
05 Oct
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Cordobes FC
27 Sept
Purepechas
0 : 1
Los Cabos United
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6

Tritones Vallarta

(Away)
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 6 5 0 1 12:7 14
3 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Cordobes FC 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Pioneros 5 4 0 1 14:6 13
3 Celaya 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 5 2 1 2 5:5 8
5 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 9:9 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)