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Los Caimanes vs Sport Loreto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fernandez A.
63'
Lebogang Berna K. J.
63'
Lebogang Berna K. J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2019 game between Los Caimanes and Sport Loreto finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Caimanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Los Caimanes
20%
Draws
30%
Sport Loreto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Caimanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sport Loreto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Los Caimanes a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Loreto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Caimanes Sport Loreto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Los Caimanes
5:1
Jul 14, 2019 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Sport Loreto
1:0
Sep 2, 2018 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Los Caimanes
4:3
May 26, 2018 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Sport Loreto
2:0
Oct 8, 2017 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Los Caimanes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Caimanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Sport Loreto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Caimanes 40 / 100
Sport Loreto 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Caimanes Sport Loreto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Loreto has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Los Caimanes's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Los Caimanes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Caimanes VS Sport Loreto
0.88 Goals Scored 1.29
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Caimanes

(Home)
22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1
Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0
Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 6

Sport Loreto

(Away)
10 Nov
Sport Loreto
0 : 4
Juan Aurich
03 Nov
Atletico Grau
4 : 1
Sport Loreto
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
20 Oct
Sport Loreto
0 : 2
Cienciano
12 Oct
Union Huaral
1 : 0
Sport Loreto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 22 14 2 6 56:26 44
2 Alianza Atl. 22 13 4 5 45:21 43
3 Juan Aurich 22 13 3 6 35:24 42
4 Atletico Grau 22 13 2 7 52:30 41
5 Santos FC 22 12 5 5 29:21 41
6 Deportivo Coopsol 22 12 3 7 39:27 39
7 Comerciantes Unidos 22 10 3 9 32:33 33
8 Union Huaral 22 8 7 7 30:29 31
9 Los Chankas 22 9 3 10 25:33 30
10 Sport Loreto 22 5 3 14 28:46 15
11 Los Caimanes 22 2 2 18 21:55 5
12 Sport Victoria 22 2 1 19 9:56 7
Promotion - Liga 1 2020 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)