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Los Chankas vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mogollon E.
10' Event
Ramos L.
15'
Palomino K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2023 game between Los Chankas and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Chankas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Los Chankas
6%
Draws
4%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Los Chankas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Chankas come out ahead of Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) on wins alone.
  • Los Chankas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 20%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2023 Liga 2
Los Chankas vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3:1
May 8, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Los Chankas
2:2
Aug 21, 2022 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Los Chankas
2:1
May 22, 2022 Liga 2
Los Chankas vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mogollon E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Talavera I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 85 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Los Chankas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Los Chankas VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427