Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Alianza Atl.

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sub
Gonzalez H. In: Kaufman M.
Out: Gonzalez H.
46'
Sub
del Castillo J. In: Coronel F.
Out: del Castillo J.
60'
Sub
Robaldo V. In: Perez J.
Out: Robaldo V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Los Chankas and Alianza Atl. finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Chankas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Los Chankas
44%
Draws
20%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Chankas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 22%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Alianza Atl.
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Los Chankas
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Alianza Atl.
1:2
Oct 28, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Los Chankas
1:0
May 19, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Alianza Atl.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alianza Atl. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 37 / 100
Alianza Atl. 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Alianza Atl.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Alianza Atl. let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Los Chankas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Chankas VS Alianza Atl.
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016