Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Chankas play Sporting Cristal in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Chankas averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Sporting Cristal averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Los Chankas won 3, Sporting Cristal won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Los Chankas and 1.00 for Sporting Cristal. This points to a Los Chankas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Los Chankas
24%
Draws
28%
Sporting Cristal
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Los Chankas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Los Chankas picked up more points recently compared to Sporting Cristal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 23%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Sporting Cristal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Los Chankas
0:1
Sep 25, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal
3:1
Jul 31, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iberico L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 48 / 100
Sporting Cristal 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Sporting Cristal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Los Chankas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Chankas attacking → ← attacking Sporting Cristal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Sporting Cristal let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Los Chankas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Cristal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 39
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016