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Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Duncan L.
(Penalty)
18' Event
Duncan L.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Barbour S.
Assist: Buchan G.

AI Match Summary

The Highland League game between Lossiemouth and Fraserburgh finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fraserburgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lossiemouth
15%
Draws
64%
Fraserburgh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fraserburgh come out ahead of Lossiemouth on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fraserburgh have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 12%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lossiemouth Fraserburgh
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.04 2
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh
0:4
Feb 7, 2026 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh
0:4
Sep 10, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth
5:0
Feb 22, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth
5:0
Sep 21, 2024 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lossiemouth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Fraserburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbour S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Watt L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lossiemouth 30 / 100
Fraserburgh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lossiemouth Fraserburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Fraserburgh conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Lossiemouth found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Lossiemouth stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lossiemouth VS Fraserburgh
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lossiemouth

(Home)
07 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 4
Lossiemouth
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Lossiemouth
3 : 4
Wick Academy
19 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 0
Lossiemouth
16 Sept
Lossiemouth
0 : 2
Deveronvale
Page 1 of 6

Fraserburgh

(Away)
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)