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Lota Schwager vs Colchagua CD Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pontigo L.
41'
Olea M.
45'
Torres S.

AI Match Summary

Colchagua CD in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colchagua CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lota Schwager
30%
Draws
31%
Colchagua CD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lota Schwager

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lota Schwager have won more games recently than Colchagua CD.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 68%
Colchagua CD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lota Schwager Colchagua CD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs Lota Schwager
0:2
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Lota Schwager vs Colchagua CD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lota Schwager Compare

Top Goalscorer Pontigo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Colchagua CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tobar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lota Schwager 41 / 100
Colchagua CD 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lota Schwager Colchagua CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lota Schwager Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lota Schwager scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Colchagua CD has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lota Schwager stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lota Schwager VS Colchagua CD
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lota Schwager

(Home)
03 Oct
Real San Joaquin
0 : 2
Lota Schwager
26 Sept
Lota Schwager
1 : 2
Provincial Ovalle
29 Aug
Atletico Colina
0 : 0
Lota Schwager
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
16 Aug
Deportes Rengo
1 : 0
Lota Schwager
Page 1 of 6

Colchagua CD

(Away)
04 Oct
Colchagua CD
2 : 0
Osorno
13 Sept
Concon National
1 : 0
Colchagua CD
05 Sept
Linares Unido
1 : 0
Colchagua CD
01 Sept
Colchagua CD
0 : 1
Brujas Salamanca
22 Aug
Trasandino
0 : 0
Colchagua CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brujas Salamanca 12 5 7 0 11:5 22
2 Concon National 12 6 3 3 16:10 21
3 Santiago City 12 5 5 2 18:19 20
4 Trasandino 12 5 3 4 19:17 18
5 Real San Joaquin 12 3 4 5 16:17 13
6 Atletico Colina 12 3 3 6 15:14 12
7 Provincial Ovalle 12 1 3 8 11:24 6
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osorno 12 6 6 0 15:5 24
2 Colchagua CD 12 6 4 2 15:11 22
3 Linares Unido 12 6 1 5 16:12 19
4 General Velasquez 12 5 1 6 11:15 16
5 Lota Schwager 12 3 4 5 11:13 13
6 Deportes Rengo 12 3 2 7 10:17 11
7 S. Morning 12 2 4 6 9:14 10
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)