Sport Picks
Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay
USA
USL Championship Segra Field, Leesburg, VA 
Match Events
20'
20'
Niyongabire P.
21'
21'
Becker P.
(Penalty)
38'
38'
Schneider M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tampa Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Loudoun United haven't matched Tampa Bay's recent run of results.
- Tampa Bay are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Loudoun United | Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 20 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Loudoun United
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Loudoun United
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Loudoun United
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ulfarsson T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Tampa Bay Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Loudoun United 26 / 100
Tampa Bay 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Loudoun United Tampa Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Loudoun United scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Loudoun United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tampa Bay has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Loudoun United VS Tampa Bay
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Loudoun United
(Home) 18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2 Sporting Jax
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2 Sporting Jax
13 Jun
Loudoun United
1 : 4 Rhode Island
06 Jun
Loudoun United
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
23 May
Loudoun United
0 : 0 Detroit City
Page 1 of 4
Tampa Bay
(Away) 18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4 Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
13 Jun
Tampa Bay
0 : 1 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
06 Jun
Sporting Jax
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
30 May
Louisville City
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
21 May
New Mexico
0 : 1 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
