Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loudoun United vs Louisville City

USA USA

USL Championship Segra Field
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ulfarsson T.
Assist: Aman R.
20' Event
Dayes B.
Assist: Davila T.
26' Event
Showunmi T.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Loudoun United and Louisville City finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Loudoun United
22%
Draws
60%
Louisville City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Louisville City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Louisville City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Louisville City a 60% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loudoun United Louisville City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Louisville City
3:3
Jun 25, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Louisville City
1:4
May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Loudoun United vs Louisville City
2:1
Apr 15, 2025 US Open Cup
Louisville City vs Loudoun United
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Loudoun United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loudoun United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulfarsson T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akinyode B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Louisville City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dayes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Showunmi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loudoun United 18 / 100
Louisville City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loudoun United Louisville City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Loudoun United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Louisville City conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Loudoun United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loudoun United VS Louisville City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1656520:2421
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4FC Tulsa1464418:1622
5Oakland Roots1556424:2221
6Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
7Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
8Colorado Springs1454524:2219
9El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
10Lexington1453622:2018
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515