Sport Picks
Loudoun United vs New Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Segra Field, Leesburg, VA 
Match Events
10'
10'
Melto Quiah J.
31'
31'
Melto Quiah J.
31'
31'
Melto Quiah J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New Mexico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to New Mexico lately — more wins on the board than Loudoun United.
- Loudoun United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 14%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Loudoun United | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs New Mexico
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Loudoun United
1:0
May 17, 2023 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs New Mexico
1:3
May 30, 2021 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Loudoun United
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Loudoun United 39 / 100
New Mexico 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Loudoun United New Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Loudoun United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Loudoun United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
New Mexico has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Solid form: Loudoun United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Loudoun United VS New Mexico
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Loudoun United
(Home) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
22 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 0 New Mexico
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
01 Aug
Loudoun United
2 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
New Mexico
(Away) 04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
Page 1 of 7
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
22 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 0 New Mexico
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
