Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loughborough Lightning W vs Sutton Coldfield Town W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loughborough Lightning W in this Women’s FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Loughborough Lightning W
15%
Draws
26%
Sutton Coldfield Town W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Loughborough Lightning W lately — more wins on the board than Sutton Coldfield Town W.
  • Loughborough Lightning W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Loughborough Lightning W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Loughborough Lightning W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 68%
Sutton Coldfield Town W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughborough Lightning W Sutton Coldfield Town W
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Loughborough Lightning W vs Sutton Coldfield Town W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughborough Lightning W 86 / 100
Sutton Coldfield Town W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughborough Lightning W Sutton Coldfield Town W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughborough Lightning W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton Coldfield Town W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

Loughborough Lightning W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Loughborough Lightning W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loughborough Lightning W VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughborough Lightning W

(Home)
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Huddersfield W
5 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
16 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Hull City W
Page 1 of 6

Sutton Coldfield Town W

(Away)
26 Oct
Stoke City LFC W
7 : 0
Sutton Coldfield Town W
03 Nov
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 1
Sutton Coldfield Town W
26 Nov
Ipswich W
8 : 0
Sutton Coldfield Town W
12 Nov
Sutton Coldfield Town W
8 : 0
Chesterfield W
27 Nov
Norwich W
3 : 2
Sutton Coldfield Town W
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Manchester City W -
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Hashtag W 6
Wroxham W 0
Ipswich W 12
Milton Keynes Dons W 0
Winchester City W 1
Portchester W 4
Saltash United W 0
Bournemouth W 6
Leicester W -
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Durham Cestria W 4
Norton & Stockton W 0
Curzon Ashton W 0
Chester-Le-Street Town W 1
Stoke City LFC W 5
Hednesford W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 2
Sutton Coldfield Town W 1
Aston Villa W -
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Oxford Utd W 5
Actonians W 0
AFC Wimbledon W 0
Watford W 1
Bursledon W 0
Marine Academy Plymouth W 4
Bristol Rovers W 4
Sherborne Town W 3
Brighton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Durham W -
Cheltenham W 7
Yeovil W 0
Bournemouth Sports W 0
Moneyfields W 1
Cambridge Utd W 0
Norwich W 1
Derby W 1
Leafield Athletic W 3
Asfordby W 1
Wolverhampton W 7
Notts County W 0
Sporting Khalsa W 5
Shrewsbury W 3
Northampton W 2
Sheffield FC W 2
Penrith W 1
Manchester United W -
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Knowle W 1
West Brom W 7
Stamford W 2
Worcester W 3
St Helens W 2
Doncaster W 1
Cheadle Town W 2
AFC Fylde W 0
Kidderminster W 3
Port Vale W 1
Telford W 1
Stourbridge W 5
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Blackburn W -
Portsmouth W -
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Cambridge City W 2
Stevenage W 3
Hutton W 2
Luton W 4
Plymouth W 6
Poole Town W 0
Exeter W 4
Keynsham Town W 0
Aylesford W 3
Reading W 1
Comets W 2
Worthing FC W 5
Sunderland W -
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Rossington Main W 0
Accrington W 1
Huddersfield W 7
Nantwich W 0
Chelsea W -
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Charlton W -
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Lewes W 2
Dulwich Hamlet W 1
Sudbury W 3
Bowers & Pitsea W 0
Everton W -
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Tottenham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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South Shields W 4
Halifax W 3
Thornaby W 2
Liverpool Feds W 7
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Sheffield Utd W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Washington W 0
Hull City W 7
Wythenshawe FC W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
River City W 2
Long Itchington W 3
Boldmere St Michaels W 1
Nottingham W 3
Burnley W 12
Spennymoor W 0
Preston W 1
Bradford City W 2
Arsenal W -
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Southampton FC W -
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Bristol City W -
Brentford W 4
Ascot United W 2
London Seaward W 3
Hackney W 1
Fulham W 7
Chesham W 0
Royston Town W 3
Newport Pagnell W 0
London City Lionesses W -
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Gwalia United W 4
Swindon W 1
Torquay W 0
Bridgwater United W 1
Farnham W 0
London Bees W 2
Chatham W 5
Dorking Wanderers W 2
Penn Tylers W 0
QPR W 3
Saltdean United W 2
South London W 1
Rugby Borough W 7
Lincoln W 0
Peterborough W 3
Billericay W 2
Mancunian Unity W 6
Stockport W 2
Handsworth W 2
York City W 0
West Ham W -
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Liverpool W -
1/64-finals
Manchester City W -
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Hashtag W 2
Ipswich W 3
Portchester W 0
Bournemouth W 4
Leicester W -
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Durham Cestria W 1
Chester-Le-Street Town W 2
Stoke City LFC W 4
Loughborough Lightning W 2
Aston Villa W -
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Oxford Utd W 1
Watford W 0
Marine Academy Plymouth W 0
Bristol Rovers W 4
Brighton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Durham W -
Cheltenham W 2
Moneyfields W 1
Norwich W 1
Leafield Athletic W 0
Wolverhampton W 8
Sporting Khalsa W 1
Shrewsbury W 4
Sheffield FC W 3
Manchester United W -
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West Brom W 6
Worcester W 0
St Helens W 0
Cheadle Town W 4
Kidderminster W 2
Stourbridge W 1
TBD -
Blackburn W -
Portsmouth W -
TBD -
Stevenage W 1
Luton W 2
Plymouth W 1
Exeter W 5
Aylesford W 2
Worthing FC W 3
Sunderland W -
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Accrington W 1
Huddersfield W 2
Chelsea W -
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Charlton W -
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Lewes W 3
Sudbury W 0
Everton W -
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Tottenham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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South Shields W 0
Liverpool Feds W 11
TBD -
Sheffield Utd W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Hull City W 0
Middlesbrough W 1
Long Itchington W 0
Nottingham W 19
Burnley W 11
Bradford City W 0
Arsenal W -
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Southampton FC W -
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Bristol City W -
Brentford W 1
London Seaward W 0
Fulham W 4
Royston Town W 3
London City Lionesses W -
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Gwalia United W 4
Bridgwater United W 0
London Bees W 3
Chatham W 2
QPR W 5
Saltdean United W 0
Rugby Borough W 7
Peterborough W 1
Mancunian Unity W 4
Handsworth W 0
West Ham W -
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Liverpool W -
1/32-finals
Manchester City W -
TBD -
Ipswich W 1
Bournemouth W 0
Leicester W -
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Chester-Le-Street Town W 1
Stoke City LFC W 2
Aston Villa W -
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Oxford Utd W 2
Bristol Rovers W 3
Brighton W -
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Birmingham W 0
Durham W 1
Cheltenham W 2
Norwich W 1
Wolverhampton W 14
Shrewsbury W 0
Manchester United W -
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West Brom W 2
Cheadle Town W 0
Kidderminster W 0
Blackburn W 4
Portsmouth W 5
Luton W 0
Exeter W 3
Worthing FC W 1
Sunderland W 4
Huddersfield W 0
Chelsea W -
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Charlton W 4
Lewes W 0
Everton W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham W -
Crystal Palace W -
TBD -
Liverpool Feds W 0
Sheffield Utd W 2
Newcastle Utd W 2
Middlesbrough W 0
Nottingham W 1
Burnley W 0
Arsenal W -
TBD -
Southampton FC W 0
Bristol City W 3
Brentford W 1
Fulham W 2
London City Lionesses W 4
Gwalia United W 0
London Bees W 6
QPR W 3
Rugby Borough W 3
Mancunian Unity W 0
West Ham W -
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Liverpool W -
1/16-finals
Manchester City W 3
Ipswich W 0
Leicester W 4
Stoke City LFC W 1
Aston Villa W 9
Bristol Rovers W 0
Brighton W 4
Durham W 1
Cheltenham W 0
Wolverhampton W 2
Manchester United W 7
West Brom W 0
Blackburn W 1
Portsmouth W 3
Exeter W 1
Sunderland W 7
Chelsea W 4
Charlton W 0
Everton W 2
Tottenham W 0
Crystal Palace W 6
Sheffield Utd W 1
Newcastle Utd W 1
Nottingham W 0
Arsenal W 5
Bristol City W 0
Fulham W 0
London City Lionesses W 5
London Bees W 0
Rugby Borough W 6
West Ham W 0
Liverpool W 5
1/8-finals
Manchester City W 3
Leicester W 1
Aston Villa W 3
Brighton W 2
Wolverhampton W 0
Manchester United W 6
Portsmouth W 0
Sunderland W 2
Chelsea W 4
Everton W 1
Crystal Palace W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
Arsenal W 2
London City Lionesses W 0
Rugby Borough W 0
Liverpool W 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Manchester United W 3
Sunderland W 1
Chelsea W 1
Crystal Palace W 0
Arsenal W 0
Liverpool W 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City W 0
Manchester United W 2
Chelsea W 2
Liverpool W 1
Final
Manchester United W 0
Chelsea W 3