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Loughgall vs Newington FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026 Lakeview Park, Loughgall
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Loughgall and Newington FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loughgall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Loughgall
33%
Draws
27%
Newington FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Loughgall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Newington FC's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Loughgall have produced (1).
  • Loughgall are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 16%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Newington FC
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Loughgall
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Newington FC
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Newington FC
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Loughgall
2:3
Feb 25, 2023 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Newington FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 39 / 100
Newington FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Newington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Loughgall's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Newington FC conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Loughgall stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS Newington FC
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
21 Jul
Loughgall
1 : 4
Dungannon
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2
Loughgall
24 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 1
Loughgall
18 Apr
Queens University
0 : 0
Loughgall
Page 1 of 7

Newington FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 0
Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2
Newington FC
04 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 1
Newington FC
24 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 1
Loughgall
18 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Limavady33218461:3271
2Annagh33225654:2771
3Harland & Wolff33178877:4159
4Newington FC331561269:5251
5Loughgall331312846:3451
6Queens University3312111043:4247
7Institute331371347:4346
8Ards331271450:4643
9Warrenpoint331061744:5036
10Ballinamallard338101536:5234
11Dundela333111937:7320
12Armagh33452428:10017
Promotion - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)