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Loughgall vs PSNI Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 14, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loughgall host PSNI in the NIFL Championship 2019/2020. This has Loughgall written all over it on paper. Loughgall have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against PSNI's 1.04 scored and 3.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Loughgall have won 3 to PSNI's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2020, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.06) back Loughgall to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Loughgall
20%
Draws
0%
PSNI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loughgall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Loughgall come out ahead of PSNI on wins alone.
  • Model gives Loughgall a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 20%
PSNI Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall PSNI
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 0
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.53 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.31 3.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Loughgall vs PSNI
3:0
Mar 14, 2020 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs PSNI
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs PSNI
6:0
Aug 17, 2019 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Loughgall
1:4
Apr 6, 2019 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs PSNI
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 85 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall PSNI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughgall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSNI has conceded goals in 96% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: PSNI registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Loughgall found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 7

PSNI

(Away)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portadown 31 20 6 5 72:30 66
2 Ballinamallard 30 19 3 8 71:34 60
3 Loughgall 31 18 4 9 64:45 58
4 Ards 31 16 6 9 68:44 54
5 Newry City 30 15 6 9 55:32 51
6 Dundela 31 13 7 11 43:49 46
7 Ballyclare 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Harland & Wolff 31 10 5 16 52:63 35
9 Queens University 31 11 1 19 59:69 34
10 Dergview 30 8 5 17 38:54 29
11 Knockbreda 30 7 4 19 36:84 25
12 PSNI 30 7 2 21 40:98 23
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2020/2021 (Main)