Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loughgall vs Strabane Athletic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2025/2026 Lakeview Park, Loughgall
Tue, Oct 7, 2025
2 - 3
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
McCallion S.
54' Event
Stewart D.
68' Event
Duffy O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Strabane Athletic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Loughgall
35%
Draws
46%
Strabane Athletic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Strabane Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Loughgall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Loughgall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Strabane Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 16%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Strabane Athletic
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Loughgall vs Strabane Athletic
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loughgall Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McLaughlin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Strabane Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer McCallion S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duffy O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 36 / 100
Strabane Athletic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Strabane Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strabane Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strabane Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Loughgall scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Loughgall stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS Strabane Athletic
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 7

Strabane Athletic

(Away)
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
05 Sept
Queens University
6 : 0
Strabane Athletic
28 Aug
Strabane Athletic
1 : 2
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1